Explained: How to spread bet on Chelsea v Arsenal

Spread betting can seem a tricky subject, so allow Squawka and Sporting Index to walk you through the basics.

Following on from the Squawka Talker podcast and last week’s article on how to spread bet on the opening weekend of the Premier League, we’re speaking again to Ed Fulton of Sporting Index about the upcoming Chelsea v Arsenal game this weekend and some of the most popular spread betting markets available.

How does football spread betting work? A Q&A with Sporting Index trader Ed Fulton

Q. We ran through an example last weekend regarding the Total Goals market for the Arsenal v Man City game – how would those scenarios have played out?

A. So, the spread on the Total Goals market was set at 3.1-3.3 which means that we thought that there would be an average of 3.2 goals in that fixture. Since there were only two goals in the game we called it wrong!

Q. So people who would have sold at 3.1 would have made a profit?

A. Yes, they would have made 1.1 multiplied by their stake. There were two goals in the game and so if you would have ‘Sold’ at 3.1 for £10 per goal it would have worked as follows:

It’s worth mentioning here that if you had bought at 3.3 for £10 per goal then you would have lost £13. There’s always the Buy and Sell aspect to this.

Q. So, the big game this weekend is Chelsea v Arsenal – could you take us a through a couple of examples for this game?

A. Of course. Let’s take a look at the Player Goal Minutes market, as it’s a favourite among our clients and a market that normal fixed-odds bookmakers do not offer.

In our hypothetical example, we have Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang’s Goal Minutes priced at 22-25. To reiterate from last week, this market is a prediction on the total number of goal scoring minutes by this player. So, if he scored in the 10th and 78th minutes the result of the market would be 88. Conversely, if he fails to score, the result is 0.

Q. So if we think he will struggle to score we would look to Sell at 22 and hope that he doesn’t score?

A: Exactly. Or, if you have Sold and he does score, you want it to be early in the game – ideally before the 22nd minute. For example, if he scores one goal in the 12th minute of the match and you sold for £1 per minute at 22, you would win £10. (Sell Price – Result) x Stake.

Q. But if we Sold at 22 and then he scores a hat-trick in the 12th, 40th and 58th minute then we would lose (22-110) x £1 = £88?

A. That’s right. Although of course if you had Bought at 25 and he scores that hat-trick then you make £85. It’s all about managing your risk with this market. I’ve used a £1 stake for simplicity, but newcomers should be using smaller stakes here – it’s a fun market, but a volatile one, but you can go as low as 1p stakes if you want to make sure any losses remain small.

Q. Last week’s conversation covered Total Goals and Player Goal Minutes, this time we’d like to ask about the Bookings market – how does that one work?

A. This is another popular market and one I’m personally a fan of. This one works slightly differently to the others, in that rather than buying or selling per minute or per goal, you do so per bookings point. For each booking in the match it’s 10 points and for each red card it’s 25 points. So a match with four bookings and one straight red card would make-up at 65. For Chelsea v Arsenal we’re pricing the market at 48-52.

Q. And finally, can you let our readers know about what new clients get at Sporting Index?

A. Of course. As a new client at Sporting Index you will receive £50 Promotional Betting Cash straight into your account to bet with for seven days – no deposit required. It’s non-withdrawable but any profit that you’ve made at the end of the seven days is yours to keep. Any losses of more than £50 at the end of the seven days are your liability. Market restrictions apply, and account openings are subject to suitability checks. Spread betting does involve risk and losses can exceed deposits. As with all bookmakers, we insist that before you open an account with us you read the full terms and conditions.

A step-by-step guide to claiming Sporting Index’s new customer offer

1. Visit the Sporting Index website (here) and click the ‘JOIN NOW’ button in the top right

2. Enter your personal details (ensuring you pick “All” in the Product Type drop-down box)

3. Read the Risk Disclosure notice, so you are fully aware of the potential losses

4. Select your account details (including a password) and register

5. You will be issued an Account Number, make a note of it and click “GO TO SPORTING INDEX”

6. Log in using your Account Number and password.

7. When the promo cash pop-up appears, click on “BET NOW” to begin betting with your £50 promo cash!

You need to be 18 or over to gamble. Please gamble responsibly and BeGambleAware.org.

Good-to-know stats and team news for Chelsea v Arsenal…

Arsenal have not won at Stamford Bridge since 2011, suggesting a positive away result is unlikely.

However, 18 months have passed since Chelsea last beat Arsenal. This period covers six fixtures in all competitions, three of which have seen the Blues lose – although a penalty shootout defeat in the Community Shield accounts for one of these. Their recent meetings have typically been tight contests, neither side able to score more than twice in any single game, while two 0-0 draws make up a third of the aforementioned matches.

Managerially speaking, it is all change ahead of Saturday’s late kick-off, adding to the sense this game will be a tentative affair, if not also lessening the extent to which we can read into the recent records outlined above.

Unai Emery and Maurizio Sarri, each coach set to preside over only his second Premier League game, will provide team news during their pre-match press conferences later this week. For now, though, there are several points of note.

After being named on the bench following his exploits with Belgium, who finished third-place at the World Cup this summer, Eden Hazard should be one name Maurizio Sarri drafts into his starting XI. Elsewhere, Cesc Fabregas, who missed the opening win away to Huddersfield, is reportedly ruled out of the match against his former club, having only returned to light training this week.

Arsenal’s left-back woes were worsened, meanwhile, in their opening-day defeat to Manchester City, during which stand-in Ainsley Maitland-Niles sustained a small fracture in his leg that will rule the 20-year-old out for up to eight weeks. Sead Kolasinac is out till October with a knee injury, but relief could come in the form of Nacho Monreal’s return to training this week, should the Spaniard pass a late fitness test. Centre-back Laurent Koscielny remains a long-term absentee through an Achilles injury and is not expected back till late December.

The post Explained: How to spread bet on Chelsea v Arsenal appeared first on Squawka News.



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